Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Bastia
32.8%
Draw
34.7%
Grenoble
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Bastia
vs
0.83
Grenoble
Markets
BTTS30.0%
Over 0.581.5%
Over 1.547.4%
Over 2.522.4%
Over 3.58.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.5%
0-1
17.4%
1-0
16.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
2.2%
0-3
1.9%
3-0
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).