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11 Aug 2024 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.9%
Widzew Lodz
28.0%
Draw
26.1%
Śląsk Wrocław

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Widzew Lodz

vs
1.08

Śląsk Wrocław

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).