Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.2%
Nantes
19.7%
Draw
67.1%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Nantes
vs
1.93
Lens
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
0-3
8.6%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.6%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).