Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.7%
Fakel
37.3%
Draw
41.0%
Krylya Sovetov
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Fakel
vs
0.98
Krylya Sovetov
Markets
BTTS30.8%
Over 0.578.6%
Over 1.549.3%
Over 2.521.9%
Over 3.58.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.4%
0-1
18.0%
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
6.0%
2-0
4.0%
2-1
3.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.0%
2-2
1.9%
3-0
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).