Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Werder Bremen
29.3%
Draw
33.1%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Werder Bremen
vs
1.16
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.9%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).