Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Elche
26.9%
Draw
20.2%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Elche
vs
0.77
Girona
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.7%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).