Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Frosinone
24.9%
Draw
24.3%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Frosinone
vs
1.00
Monza
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).