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05 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.0%
Dinamo Moskva
16.2%
Draw
8.7%
Orenburg

Expected Goals (xG)

2.67

Dinamo Moskva

vs
0.86

Orenburg

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.546.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.5%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
4-0
6.2%
4-1
5.3%
2-2
3.8%
0-0
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
5-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).