Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Northampton
28.7%
Draw
25.0%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Northampton
vs
0.80
Walsall
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).