Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.1%
Southend
21.5%
Draw
12.3%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Southend
vs
0.77
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).