Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
29.6%
Draw
43.2%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
1.45
Leeds
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).