Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.3%
Getafe
31.3%
Draw
38.4%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Getafe
vs
1.10
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
13.8%
0-0
13.5%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).