Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Port Vale
26.1%
Draw
40.0%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Port Vale
vs
1.21
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).