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DHT: 10CSV

16 Mar 2021 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.7%
Cosenza
31.4%
Draw
36.8%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Cosenza

vs
1.17

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS46.6%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.0%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).