Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Empoli
30.2%
Draw
40.3%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Empoli
vs
1.30
Modena
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).