Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Stranraer
30.2%
Draw
23.9%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Stranraer
vs
1.04
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).