Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Swindon
20.0%
Draw
17.2%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Swindon
vs
0.94
Barrow
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.0%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).