Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.2%
Middlesbrough
25.9%
Draw
15.9%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Middlesbrough
vs
0.76
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).