Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Fleetwood Town
27.9%
Draw
34.2%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.07
Accrington
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).