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25 Jan 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.3%
Bradford
25.4%
Draw
25.3%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Bradford

vs
0.96

Walsall

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).