Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
FC Koln
35.5%
Draw
29.8%
AFC Dunstable
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
FC Koln
vs
0.72
AFC Dunstable
Markets
BTTS28.1%
Over 0.578.7%
Over 1.544.7%
Over 2.519.8%
Over 3.56.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.3%
1-0
17.9%
0-1
16.0%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
1.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
0-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).