Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.1%
Samsunspor
33.4%
Draw
19.4%
Kayserispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Samsunspor
vs
0.85
Kayserispor
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.6%
0-0
13.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).