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19 Nov 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.2%
Villarreal B
26.7%
Draw
40.1%
Andorra

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Villarreal B

vs
1.32

Andorra

Markets

BTTS50.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).