Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Doncaster
22.4%
Draw
22.7%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Doncaster
vs
0.97
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).