Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.8%
Metz
10.4%
Draw
82.8%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Metz
vs
3.19
Aris
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.576.9%
Over 3.557.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
9.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
0-4
7.6%
1-4
6.5%
0-1
5.8%
0-5
4.8%
1-1
4.5%
1-5
4.1%
2-3
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).