Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Parma
27.5%
Draw
24.6%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Parma
vs
1.07
Pisa
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).