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22 Mar 2026 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.4%
Hartberg
28.7%
Draw
27.9%
Austria Wien

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Hartberg

vs
1.07

Austria Wien

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).