Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Leicester
29.0%
Draw
37.4%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Leicester
vs
1.41
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).