Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Salernitana
35.7%
Draw
28.2%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Salernitana
vs
0.81
Padova
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.581.6%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.526.1%
Over 3.510.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.4%
1-0
15.0%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
12.6%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).