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19 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.6%
West Brom
24.8%
Draw
10.6%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

West Brom

vs
0.60

Norwich

Markets

BTTS39.0%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.0%
2-0
14.6%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).