Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Portsmouth
21.5%
Draw
17.3%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Portsmouth
vs
0.77
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).