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AHT: 02CSV

16 May 2021 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.8%
Braunschweig
27.9%
Draw
25.3%
Wurzburger Kickers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Braunschweig

vs
1.07

Wurzburger Kickers

Markets

BTTS52.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).