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AHT: 00CSV

05 May 2025 · 20:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.8%
AVS
26.8%
Draw
36.4%
Boavista

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

AVS

vs
1.17

Boavista

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).