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09 Aug 2025 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.4%
CSKA Moskva
29.0%
Draw
18.6%
Rubin Kazan

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

CSKA Moskva

vs
0.80

Rubin Kazan

Markets

BTTS44.4%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.5%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).