Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.0%
Millwall
29.7%
Draw
19.3%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Millwall
vs
0.75
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.8%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).