Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Lille
24.5%
Draw
49.1%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Lille
vs
1.50
Lens
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).