Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Lugo
31.3%
Draw
41.4%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Lugo
vs
1.08
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
0-0
15.0%
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
5.0%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).