Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →95.7%
Bayern Munich
3.3%
Draw
1.0%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
4.79
Bayern Munich
vs
0.60
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.599.4%
Over 1.597.1%
Over 2.590.3%
Over 3.578.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
10.2%
5-0
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.0%
5-1
5.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-1
3.2%
1-0
2.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-2
1.7%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).