Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.4%
Hamilton
19.8%
Draw
9.9%
Kelty Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Hamilton
vs
0.66
Kelty Hearts
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
1-0
12.7%
3-0
9.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
5.1%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).