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HHT: 11CSV

16 May 2021 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.7%
Osnabruck
15.0%
Draw
76.3%
Hamburg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Osnabruck

vs
2.81

Hamburg

Markets

BTTS56.5%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.6%
0-3
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
1-3
8.2%
1-1
6.8%
0-4
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
1-4
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
0-5
3.6%
1-5
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).