Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.9%
Estoril
12.1%
Draw
6.0%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
3.00
Estoril
vs
0.75
AVS
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.551.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
6.8%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
5.6%
5-0
4.8%
5-1
3.6%
2-2
3.0%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).