Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Sampdoria
30.4%
Draw
19.4%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Sampdoria
vs
0.75
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
13.3%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).