Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.9%
Darmstadt
15.7%
Draw
77.3%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Darmstadt
vs
2.48
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.7%
0-3
11.3%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.5%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
7.0%
0-0
5.0%
1-4
4.4%
0-5
3.5%
2-2
2.7%
1-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).