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21 Aug 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.7%
Torquay
26.6%
Draw
23.7%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Torquay

vs
1.06

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).