Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Burgos
32.4%
Draw
29.5%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Burgos
vs
0.82
Granada
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.553.7%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.510.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.3%
1-0
16.3%
0-1
13.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).