Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.0%
Fredericia
27.0%
Draw
42.0%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Fredericia
vs
1.52
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).