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02 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.6%
Bristol Rvs
28.2%
Draw
30.2%
Harrogate

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Bristol Rvs

vs
0.97

Harrogate

Markets

BTTS42.6%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).