Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Portsmouth
26.3%
Draw
13.9%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Portsmouth
vs
0.65
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
11.8%
0-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).