Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.0%
Lugano
19.3%
Draw
9.7%
Inter
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Lugano
vs
0.85
Inter
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
9.0%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
4-1
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.3%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).