Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.7%
Boston Utd
26.9%
Draw
55.4%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Boston Utd
vs
1.60
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
11.6%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).